Election Predictions

Data Skeptic

Episode | Podcast

Date: Fri, 30 Sep 2016 15:00:00 +0000

<p><a href="http://research.pomona.edu/johardin/">Jo Hardin</a> joins us this week to discuss the <a href="http://www.amstat.org/">ASA</a>'s Election Prediction Contest. This is a competition aimed at forecasting the results of the upcoming US presidential election competition. More details are available in Jo's blog post found <a href="https://www.r-bloggers.com/presidential-election-predictions-2016-an-asa-competition/"> here</a>.</p> <p>You can find some useful R code for getting started automatically gathering data from 538 via <a href="https://github.com/hardin47/prediction2016/blob/master/predblog.Rmd"> Jo's github</a> and official contest details are available <a href="http://thisisstatistics.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/2016_ElectionPredictionContest_DetailedRules_2016-0718.pdf"> here</a>. During the interview we also mention <a href="http://www.dailykos.com/">Daily Kos</a> and <a href="http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/">538</a>.</p>